Reichenau vs Mötz / Silz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
13º
3º
47
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reichenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PIN
4 - 0
REI
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
REI
3 - 0
DOR
62%
20%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
REI
0 - 0
SCR
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
REI
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
REI
1 - 2
IMS
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mötz / Silz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MOT
5 - 3
WOL
78%
14%
9%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
IMS
3 - 2
MOT
75%
14%
11%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MOT
5 - 0
STJ
58%
20%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SVA
4 - 1
MOT
70%
17%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MOT
4 - 4
HOH
37%
23%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |