Reichenau vs Lauterach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
6º
5º
4
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 69 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 63 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 53 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 52 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 41 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 38 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 34 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 19 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 16 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reichenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
REI
5 - 0
WAL
53%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 2
REI
70%
17%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ALF
4 - 0
REI
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
REI
1 - 3
BOT
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
REI
5 - 0
STJ
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lauterach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 5
KUC
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LOC
3 - 5
LAU
37%
22%
40%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 0
HAR
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FCH
3 - 4
LAU
25%
20%
55%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 4
LUS
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |