Reichenau vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reichenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
RBJ
5 - 1
REI
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
REI
2 - 4
HAL
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
HOH
1 - 1
REI
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2007 |
REI
3 - 0
AUS
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 0
REI
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
HAR
3 - 1
ROT
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
FCH
2 - 0
HAR
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
HAR
0 - 1
AXG
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
SEE
3 - 1
HAR
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 0
DOR
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |