Regua vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
64.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
14º
13º
7
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
93.5% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
3 - 1
REG
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
REG
0 - 2
BMA
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
10 - 0
REG
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
REG
69%
17%
13%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
12 - 0
REG
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 0
GON
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
3 - 0
ALP
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 0
MAR
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +4 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 6
LUS
20%
26%
54%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -3 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GON
3 - 1
ALP
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |