Regua vs AD Marco 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
63.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+102%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
13º
14º
14º
33
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 54 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 50 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 42 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 35.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALP
3 - 1
REG
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REG
1 - 2
LEC
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BMA
1 - 0
REG
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REG
0 - 0
MAC
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
REG
1 - 0
GFC
24%
21%
56%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BMA
0 - 3
ADM
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADM
1 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GFC
1 - 0
ADM
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ADM
2 - 1
SAL
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ADM
1 - 0
UNI
54%
23%
22%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |