Regua vs Camacha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
63.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
14º
13º
5
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
93.5% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
REG
72%
17%
11%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
REG
10%
13%
77%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
REG
1 - 1
ALP
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
3 - 1
REG
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
REG
0 - 2
BMA
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 2
UDL
10%
19%
71%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
LEC
32%
26%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BMA
2 - 1
CAM
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 2
CAM
11%
17%
73%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |