Reggina vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
REG
0 - 0
FON
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
REG
1 - 0
PAG
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
FCC
0 - 1
REG
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
REG
0 - 3
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
REN
44%
28%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FON
2 - 2
FRA
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 0
BIS
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
LEC
4 - 0
FRA
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |