Reggina vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
LAZ
2 - 2
REG
44%
30%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
REG
1 - 1
PAL
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 1
USF
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 0
PRG
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 1
PRG
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
LAZ
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 2
PIS
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |