Reggina vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
4 - 0
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
REG
3 - 1
JUS
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
REG
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
REG
0 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
REG
1 - 0
CRO
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAD
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
NOV
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
SIE
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
NOV
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 3
SAS
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -2 |