Reggina vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 0
REG
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
REG
0 - 1
VIR
72%
19%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAD
3 - 2
REG
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
REG
2 - 2
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VER
2 - 0
REG
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 2
TER
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPE
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
JUS
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CES
1 - 4
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |