Reggina vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
15.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
LAZ
2 - 2
REG
44%
30%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
REG
1 - 1
PAL
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
BAR
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 0
REG
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAD
43%
31%
26%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PAL
3 - 0
NOV
59%
26%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
POT
1 - 0
NOV
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 0
VNZ
51%
28%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
PRG
4 - 2
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |