Reggina vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
REG
0 - 3
VIC
64%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAS
4 - 1
REG
50%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
REG
3 - 3
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
REG
0 - 1
VER
50%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 0
PAG
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PES
1 - 0
NOC
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
NOC
3 - 0
PAD
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
NOC
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 0
ABN
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |