Reggina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 1
REG
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
REG
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SAS
3 - 2
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
REG
0 - 0
ASC
56%
26%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 1
REG
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MOD
4 - 0
FRO
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 3
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MOD
3 - 1
POR
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |