Reggina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1966 |
PAL
1 - 2
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
ASS
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
VER
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 2
REG
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
FCC
1 - 2
REG
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1966 |
FCC
0 - 0
MOD
51%
28%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
MOD
4 - 0
PRO
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
37%
29%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
48%
27%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |