Reggina vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FON
3 - 1
REG
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
USV
2 - 2
REG
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
REG
0 - 1
PAG
42%
28%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 1
REG
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 1
REG
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MES
3 - 1
SIR
36%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
MES
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 3
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
FRO
3 - 0
MES
81%
15%
5%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
MES
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |