Reggina vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
MOD
3 - 1
REG
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 2
REG
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
CAG
0 - 0
REG
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
REG
1 - 0
EMP
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
PAL
63%
24%
13%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
MES
2 - 1
NAP
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
MES
0 - 2
PAR
20%
27%
54%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
MES
3 - 1
COS
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
COM
2 - 1
MES
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 3
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +2 |