Reggina vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LAZ
1 - 1
REG
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
4 - 1
REG
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
REG
0 - 0
UDI
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LEC
2 - 1
REG
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
REG
2 - 1
ACM
17%
27%
56%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 2
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
LEC
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ARZ
2 - 3
LIV
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASC
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |