Reggina vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
BAR
3 - 0
REG
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
REG
0 - 0
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
CAT
3 - 3
REG
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
REG
1 - 6
NAP
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
REG
1 - 3
CAT
52%
29%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
LIV
2 - 0
COM
47%
31%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
ACM
2 - 0
LIV
80%
15%
6%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
PIS
0 - 1
LIV
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
MAS
68%
20%
11%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
LIV
2 - 0
CAG
15%
24%
61%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +2 |