Reggina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
REG
3 - 1
MAN
50%
30%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 0
REG
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
COM
1 - 1
REG
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
LEC
58%
27%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
37%
32%
32%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
MAN
38%
32%
29%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 1
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |