Reggina vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2014 |
REG
1 - 2
TER
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
AVE
3 - 0
REG
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
REG
1 - 2
CES
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 1
REG
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
TUT
3 - 0
CAS
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
4 - 0
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
RAA
1 - 2
CAS
29%
27%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
ASM
57%
24%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MES
2 - 1
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |