Reggina vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ABN
2 - 0
REG
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
REG
1 - 1
GRO
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 1
REG
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
REG
3 - 1
TRI
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
REG
0 - 2
SAS
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
CES
3 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
CES
3 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
PAD
1 - 0
CES
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CES
4 - 0
FRO
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |