Red Star vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
AJA
0 - 0
RED
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
GIR
1 - 0
RED
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1968 |
RED
0 - 1
NAN
34%
25%
42%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
LEN
2 - 4
RED
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
RED
1 - 1
ASS
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
VAL
2 - 0
GIR
44%
29%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
NAN
0 - 2
VAL
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 0
MAR
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ASS
3 - 0
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 1
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |