Red Star vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
PFC
0 - 4
RED
69%
20%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
RED
0 - 2
CHE
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCM
0 - 1
RED
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
RED
1 - 2
NÎM
27%
31%
43%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
RED
1 - 0
BRC
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
3 - 2
FCR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 2
SPI
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 2
VAN
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LPS
1 - 2
SPI
33%
27%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SPI
5 - 1
LUS
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |