Red Star vs Perpignan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1996 |
SOC
0 - 1
RED
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1996 |
RED
1 - 2
CHA
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1996 |
VAL
1 - 0
RED
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
RED
0 - 1
NIO
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 1
RED
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1996 |
PER
2 - 0
STL
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1996 |
FCM
1 - 1
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1996 |
PER
0 - 1
TFC
33%
29%
39%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
CAE
2 - 0
PER
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
PER
1 - 1
DUN
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |