Red Star vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
ASB
1 - 1
RED
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
RED
1 - 0
LMU
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
NIO
3 - 1
RED
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
RED
1 - 1
CAN
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
CAE
3 - 1
RED
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
GUI
2 - 0
NIC
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
CAE
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
ESW
2 - 2
NIC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
SED
36%
29%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
STL
1 - 0
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |