Red Star vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1970 |
MET
2 - 1
RED
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
RED
2 - 1
STR
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1970 |
ANG
1 - 1
RED
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
RED
2 - 4
REN
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
RED
1 - 6
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
MAR
4 - 2
NAN
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
NAN
2 - 2
SED
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1970 |
BAS
3 - 2
NAN
36%
23%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
NAN
1 - 0
ANG
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
LYO
2 - 5
NAN
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |