Red Star vs Luzenac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
RED
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
RED
0 - 2
GAZ
30%
29%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
ASB
4 - 2
RED
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
QUE
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ORL
2 - 1
RED
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luzenac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
LUZ
2 - 0
FCR
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 0
LUZ
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LUZ
2 - 2
VAN
28%
27%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LPS
1 - 0
LUZ
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 1
LUS
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |