Red Star vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
VAL
3 - 2
RED
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
RED
0 - 0
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
CSL
0 - 1
RED
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
RED
7 - 2
SOC
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
RED
2 - 2
FCM
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 1
TFC
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
LMU
0 - 3
LOR
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
LOR
0 - 0
SPI
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
FCM
3 - 1
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 1
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |