Red Star vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
RED
0 - 0
LMU
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
CHA
0 - 2
RED
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
RED
1 - 0
VAL
62%
23%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
NIO
2 - 3
RED
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
RED
0 - 0
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
LOR
1 - 1
AMI
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
ANG
1 - 1
LOR
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
LOR
0 - 0
SPI
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
LMU
1 - 0
LOR
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
LOR
0 - 3
SOC
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |