Red Star vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
SOC
0 - 0
RED
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
RED
0 - 1
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
RED
1 - 2
ASS
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
GIR
2 - 1
RED
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
RED
3 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
LIL
2 - 0
GIR
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
ASS
4 - 1
LIL
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
LIL
1 - 1
NÎM
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |