Red Star vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1966 |
ANG
2 - 2
RED
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1966 |
RED
0 - 3
NAN
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
TFC
1 - 0
RED
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
RED
1 - 5
SFP
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
CAN
1 - 1
RED
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1966 |
LIL
3 - 0
ASS
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
LIL
2 - 1
FCR
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
LIL
0 - 1
NAN
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |