Red Star vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
51%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
RED
0 - 0
MET
45%
29%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
RED
33%
30%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
RED
2 - 1
CAB
39%
29%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 1
RED
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
COM
0 - 1
RED
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 0
ASB
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 3
FRE
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 0
FCG
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
GAP
2 - 2
FRE
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 1
PFC
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |