Red Star vs FC Martigues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
17º
15º
18
9º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 69 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 40 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 70.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
RED
1 - 2
LOR
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PFC
4 - 1
RED
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
RED
1 - 3
PAU
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
STL
1 - 1
RED
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
ROD
0 - 2
RED
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Martigues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 1
FCM
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
FCM
3 - 0
AMI
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 0
FCM
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
FCM
0 - 1
CLE
27%
28%
46%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
PFC
1 - 2
FCM
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |