Red Star vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
RED
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
RED
2 - 0
USB
43%
29%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
PFC
1 - 0
RED
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
RED
3 - 0
SPI
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
RED
32%
28%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
AVR
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
STR
3 - 0
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
CON
0 - 3
LPS
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
4 - 0
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
CON
0 - 3
BOU
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |