Red Star vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
RED
0 - 0
FRE
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
RED
2 - 1
ARL
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
IST
0 - 5
RED
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
RED
1 - 0
DUN
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 3
RED
10%
20%
70%
|
61 | 21 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
USB
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
AJA
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
PFC
3 - 1
CON
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
SPI
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |