Red Star vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 1
RED
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
RED
0 - 0
ASB
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
QUE
1 - 1
RED
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RED
1 - 2
ORL
34%
29%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
RED
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ORL
1 - 0
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
COL
0 - 0
FCR
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 3
COL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 0
VAN
37%
28%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
COL
1 - 3
QUE
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |