Red Star vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
47.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
SPI
0 - 2
RED
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
RED
0 - 0
PFC
32%
30%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
RED
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RED
2 - 1
FCM
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
NÎM
3 - 4
RED
77%
15%
7%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 0
NIO
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 2
LUS
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 0
VAN
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 1
NIO
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NIO
1 - 2
ORL
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |