Red Star vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 1
RED
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 1
RED
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
RED
3 - 0
POI
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
CAE
2 - 1
RED
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
ASN
0 - 0
RED
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
POI
1 - 1
NIO
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
NIO
0 - 0
MAR
10%
23%
68%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
NIO
2 - 3
ASN
34%
32%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 1
NIO
57%
24%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
NIO
5 - 1
OLY
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |