Red Star vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
DUN
0 - 0
RED
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
RED
0 - 0
PER
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
AMI
0 - 2
RED
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
RED
2 - 1
CSL
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
ANG
1 - 2
RED
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
CAE
2 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
POI
0 - 1
CAE
29%
28%
44%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
LOR
1 - 1
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
CAE
1 - 0
OLY
76%
15%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |