Red Star vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
STR
2 - 1
RED
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
RED
0 - 5
ANG
48%
24%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
RED
3 - 1
GIR
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
NIC
1 - 1
RED
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
RED
1 - 5
REN
46%
24%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
1 - 0
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
REI
1 - 0
AJA
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
6 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
SOC
5 - 1
AJA
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
AJA
0 - 0
ANG
55%
24%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |