Red Star vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
NAN
0 - 1
RED
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
RED
2 - 2
SOC
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SED
0 - 0
RED
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
RED
0 - 0
ASS
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1968 |
MON
1 - 1
RED
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
AJA
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
REN
5 - 0
AJA
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 1
LYO
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
NIC
0 - 3
AJA
68%
17%
16%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |