Red Star Zürich vs Regensdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
8º
4º
19
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DIE
1 - 0
RSZ
48%
23%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RSZ
1 - 1
PRA
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
0 - 0
RSZ
47%
22%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RSZ
2 - 1
FCU
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 0
RSZ
38%
22%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Regensdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REG
3 - 0
MUT
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DIE
0 - 0
REG
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
REG
1 - 3
PRA
29%
21%
49%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 1
REG
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
REG
2 - 4
FCU
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |