Red Star Zürich vs Collina d'Oro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
11º
6º
64
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ZOF
1 - 1
RSZ
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 2
ZUR
5%
13%
82%
|
38 | 81 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
RSZ
1 - 3
HON
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 0
RSZ
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
RSZ
3 - 1
BIN
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 1
ZUG
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 4
FCC
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 4
WIL
4%
8%
88%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 3
CHA
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PER
3 - 2
FCC
23%
20%
57%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |