Red Star Zürich vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
11º
6º
27
14º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 5
RSZ
28%
23%
50%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RSZ
1 - 2
BRU
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
RSZ
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 2
FCC
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 2
RSZ
26%
22%
51%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
ZUG
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
ASC
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRU
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
ASC
50%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 1
FCC
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |