Red Star Penzing vs Wienerberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
30%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
9º
3º
40
8º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Penzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
RED
39%
21%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
WAF
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVH
3 - 0
RED
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
RED
1 - 0
SPO
9%
13%
78%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | +4 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
GER
3 - 2
RED
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wienerberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
WIE
1 - 1
STA
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WIE
1 - 1
ASV
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
WIE
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WIE
0 - 2
WAF
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVH
1 - 0
WIE
72%
15%
12%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |