Red Star Penzing vs Kagran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
9º
3º
24
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Penzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
RED
2 - 1
SKS
18%
19%
63%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
AUS
1 - 4
RED
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | +3 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
RED
6 - 2
FCJ
38%
22%
40%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
RED
1 - 3
VIE
9%
14%
77%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
RED
1 - 4
ROH
9%
15%
77%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kagran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KAG
0 - 1
SCH
10%
15%
75%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
DON
9 - 2
KAG
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
KAG
0 - 8
SVS
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 3
STA
12%
16%
72%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
KAG
2 - 4
SVS
9%
15%
77%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | 0 |