Red Star Penzing vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
48.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
9º
3º
45
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Penzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
RED
3 - 0
ASV
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
RED
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
RED
4 - 1
WIE
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
RED
39%
21%
40%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
WAF
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
DON
2 - 1
STA
39%
24%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WIE
5 - 1
DON
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DON
4 - 0
MAN
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 3
DON
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
DON
0 - 2
SVH
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |