Red Star Penzing vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
48.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
9º
3º
45
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Penzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
RED
3 - 0
ASV
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
RED
61%
20%
20%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
RED
4 - 1
WIE
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
RED
39%
21%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
WAF
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
DON
2 - 1
STA
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WIE
5 - 1
DON
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DON
4 - 0
MAN
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 3
DON
19%
20%
62%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
DON
0 - 2
SVH
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |