Red Star Penzing vs ASV 13 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
9º
3º
19
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Penzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
RED
61%
20%
20%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
RED
4 - 1
WIE
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
RED
39%
21%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
WAF
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVH
3 - 0
RED
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ASV 13
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 0
ASV
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
ASV
77%
15%
9%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 2
SCH
24%
21%
54%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WIE
1 - 1
ASV
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 1
SIM
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |