Red Star Merl-Belair vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.6%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
88.7%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.3%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
15.2%
0-5
7%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
9.7%
0-6
4%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
5.3%
0-7
1.9%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.5%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UKT
5 - 0
RSM
55%
20%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RSM
2 - 1
BWI
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
URE
2 - 2
RSM
43%
22%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RSM
3 - 0
BER
16%
17%
66%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +4 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RSM
1 - 1
RBE
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
USM
0 - 2
SWI
27%
24%
48%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SWI
0 - 0
KAE
83%
11%
5%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TBB
0 - 3
SWI
7%
13%
80%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 6
SWI
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
RAC
61%
20%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |