Red Star Merl-Belair vs Berdenia Berbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
66.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RSM
1 - 1
RBE
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SYR
0 - 2
RSM
68%
17%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
4 - 1
RSM
36%
21%
43%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
JGI
1 - 2
RSM
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LUP
0 - 3
RSM
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Berdenia Berbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 3
FCR
38%
24%
39%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 2
BER
55%
21%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BER
3 - 4
BWM
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KOE
1 - 0
BER
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
RUM
0 - 3
BER
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |